Is Caterpillar Inc. Stock (CAT) Overbought or Oversold?
RSI analysis computed from CAT's daily closing prices · Data through July 2, 2026
As of July 2, 2026, CAT’s 14-day RSI is 68.3, inside the neutral 30–70 band — neither overbought nor oversold by the conventional thresholds.
RSI-14 Scale
CAT reads 68.3 on the 0–100 scale.
The Supporting Picture
vs 50-Day MA
+31.5%
MA: $737.46
vs 200-Day MA
+73.5%
MA: $559.00
From 52-Wk High
-9.4%
High: $1064.42
Volume vs 20-Day Avg
-3%
Avg: 2.0M shares
The 50-day average is currently above the 200-day average, which technicians read as a longer-term uptrend backdrop for the RSI reading above.
What's Behind the Reading
July 6, 2026Caterpillar's current RSI of 68.31 indicates a neutral momentum posture, nearing overbought conditions. The stock has demonstrated strong performance, with a 65% increase in 2026, and recently crossed the $1,000 threshold, reflecting sustained industrial demand. This upward trend is supported by robust Q1 2026 results, where sales and revenues increased 22% year-over-year to $17.4 billion, exceeding analyst expectations. Construction Industries' sales surged 38%, driven by higher sales volume and favorable pricing, particularly in North America. The Power & Energy segment also saw significant growth, with sales up 22%, fueled by demand for large engines and power generation equipment tied to data center and AI infrastructure expansion. A record backlog of $63 billion further underpins this positive momentum.
Recent Overbought / Oversold Episodes
How CAT behaved the last few times RSI left the neutral band — including its return over the 5 trading days after each episode ended.
| Episode | Period | Next 5 Days |
|---|---|---|
| overbought | June 29, 2026 – July 1, 2026 | — |
| overbought | February 6, 2026 – February 17, 2026 | +0.5% |
| overbought | February 2, 2026 – February 3, 2026 | +5.6% |
| overbought | December 10, 2025 – December 11, 2025 | -9.6% |
Past behavior does not predict future results — small sample sizes especially.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Methodology
The verdict on this page is mechanical: we compute the 14-day Relative Strength Index with Wilder’s smoothing from CAT’s daily closing prices, and apply the conventional thresholds — above 70 is overbought, below 30 is oversold. Moving averages, the 52-week range, and volume comparisons come from the same price history.
Indicators are recomputed after every market close. The AI commentary adds context from current news via grounded search, but never changes the computed verdict. Note: closes are as-traded; a stock split would distort readings for a few weeks until the window rolls past it.
Not Financial Advice
This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.
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