Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) Stock Price Prediction
AI-generated price target with bull & bear cases · Re-evaluated every trading morning and evening
Our AI model’s current price target for TXN is $299.27 — 1.4% below the latest price of $303.53.
Target vs 52-Week Range
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
The bull case for TXN centers on continued strong demand recovery in its core industrial and automotive segments, with industrial revenue still below its 2022 peak, suggesting further growth potential. The surging demand from the data center segment, which saw 90% year-over-year growth in Q1 2026, driven by AI infrastructure buildouts, is a significant tailwind. Texas Instruments is expected to benefit from a structural free cash flow inflection as its heavy investments in 300mm wafer capacity mature and capital expenditures moderate, leading to substantial FCF expansion. Potential for analog chip price increases in H2 2026 due to supply tightness could further boost profitability. The pending acquisition of Silicon Labs is also expected to enhance its embedded wireless connectivity portfolio and open new growth avenues.
Bear Case
The primary concern for TXN is its elevated valuation, with P/E ratios significantly above historical averages, which may offer little margin of safety and leave the stock vulnerable to corrections. There's a risk of demand normalization in the data center segment, as Q1 2026's surge was partly attributed to temporary 'pull-forward' orders that may subside as competitors resolve their foundry bottlenecks in H2 2026. Macroeconomic headwinds and potential softening in the automotive and industrial sectors could hinder sustained recovery and growth. Geopolitical risks, particularly concerning its significant revenue exposure to China (21% in FY2025), pose a potential threat. Furthermore, the substantial investments in manufacturing capacity could pressure near-term returns if end-market demand weakens or ramps up slower than anticipated.
Model-assessed risk level: Medium
Key Catalysts to Watch
Continued strong demand in industrial and automotive end markets.
Sustained growth in AI data center infrastructure and demand for power management chips.
Realization of cost efficiencies and supply dependability from 300mm wafer manufacturing expansion.
Successful integration and synergies from the Silicon Labs acquisition, expected to close in H1 2027.
Q2 2026 earnings report and future guidance (scheduled for July 22, 2026).
Potential for analog product price increases in H2 2026.
Technical Backdrop
RSI-14
80.8
50-Day MA
$213.73
200-Day MA
$192.13
From 52-Wk High
-1.8%
Full momentum breakdown: Is TXN overbought or oversold?
Model Notes
Texas Instruments (TI) is a leading American multinational semiconductor company headquartered in Dallas, Texas. It specializes in designing and manufacturing analog chips and embedded processors, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from the industrial and automotive markets. The company has a long history of innovation, including the invention of the integrated circuit. TI is strategically investing in 300-millimeter wafer capacity to enhance manufacturing efficiency and supply reliability. In Q1 2026, TI reported strong revenue growth of 19% year-over-year and a 90% surge in data center revenue, contributing to a substantial rally in its stock price during 2026. Despite strong operational performance, the stock's current valuation is considered elevated by some analysts, leading to caution regarding near-term upside.
As of early July 2026, TXN's stock price is approximately $297.00, trading near its 52-week high of $334.03, while its 52-week low is $152.73. The stock has experienced considerable volatility, with a beta coefficient of 1.30 and an average true range (ATR) indicating high volatility. Recent trading sessions have shown declines, with a -1.79% decrease in the 24 hours prior to July 2, 2026. Technical indicators are mixed; for instance, the 14-day RSI is at 44.753 (suggesting 'Sell'), and MACD is -1.71 (suggesting 'Sell'). However, some moving averages indicate a 'Buy' signal while others suggest 'Sell', resulting in a generally 'Neutral' technical outlook from various analytical sources. The stock's sensitivity to broader sector movements was evident with an 8% drop following a general chip sell-off, despite no company-specific negative news.
Current Street Context
July 6, 2026The AI price target for Texas Instruments Inc. is $299.27. Analyst sentiment for TXN is generally positive, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' or 'Moderate Buy' from 23 to 35 analysts. The average 12-month price target ranges from $283.56 to $299.27, with a high forecast of $400.00 and a low of $160.00 to $200.00. The company's strong Q1 2026 revenue, driven by industrial and data center segments, and the anticipated sharp decline in capital expenditures for 2026 are key factors. Texas Instruments is expected to report its Q2 2026 results around July 22, which could influence full-year consensus estimates. Potential incremental investment related to the Silicon Labs acquisition, expected to close in the first half of 2027, is also a consideration. These targets are estimates and not guarantees of future performance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the price target for TXN?
How is this forecast generated?
How accurate are stock price predictions?
Will TXN stock go up?
How often does the AI target change?
Methodology
The price target, bull and bear cases, and risk level are produced by an AI model that reviews TXN’s fundamentals, technical posture, current news flow, and analyst commentary via live web search. It re-evaluates every trading morning and evening; the street-context commentary refreshes each trading evening.
Targets are estimates, not guarantees. No model reliably predicts short-term prices — treat this page as a structured summary of what current information might justify, alongside the risks that could break the thesis.
Not Financial Advice
This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.
Keep Digging on TXN
Texas Instruments Inc. Overview
Price, chart, analysis & financials
TXN: Overbought or Oversold?
Updated daily
TXN: Why Is It Moving?
Updated daily
TXN: Undervalued or Overvalued?
Updated daily
Same question, Technology peers