Is Morgan Stanley Stock (MS) Overbought or Oversold?
RSI analysis computed from MS's daily closing prices · Data through July 2, 2026
As of July 2, 2026, MS’s 14-day RSI is 78.6, above the conventional overbought threshold of 70 — the stock has risen quickly relative to its recent trading range.
RSI-14 Scale
MS reads 78.6 on the 0–100 scale.
The Supporting Picture
vs 50-Day MA
+28.6%
MA: $172.66
vs 200-Day MA
+36.7%
MA: $162.45
From 52-Wk High
0.0%
High: $213.95
Volume vs 20-Day Avg
-37%
Avg: 5.0M shares
The 50-day average is currently above the 200-day average, which technicians read as a longer-term uptrend backdrop for the RSI reading above.
What's Behind the Reading
July 6, 2026Morgan Stanley's stock is currently in an overbought condition, with an RSI-14 of 78.57, and its price trading 28.0% above its 50-day moving average, reaching its 52-week high. This strong upward momentum is largely driven by several recent positive developments. On July 6, 2026, the stock surged following an announcement of an investment in a Canadian power project by its investment management division. Furthermore, the firm declared a 15% increase in its quarterly dividend and a substantial $20 billion multi-year share buyback program, both initiated after successful Federal Reserve stress test results. Morgan Stanley also reported strong first-quarter 2026 earnings, beating EPS estimates with $3.43 against $3.04, and revenue increasing 16.0% year-over-year to $20.58 billion. The expansion of its wealth management unit's Private Markets and Alternatives platform, PMAX, has also contributed to positive sentiment.
Recent Overbought / Oversold Episodes
How MS behaved the last few times RSI left the neutral band — including its return over the 5 trading days after each episode ended.
| Episode | Period | Next 5 Days |
|---|---|---|
| overbought | June 29, 2026 – July 2, 2026 | Ongoing |
| overbought | January 6, 2026 | -2.7% |
| overbought | December 9, 2025 – December 11, 2025 | -4.1% |
| overbought | September 29, 2025 | -1.9% |
Past behavior does not predict future results — small sample sizes especially.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Methodology
The verdict on this page is mechanical: we compute the 14-day Relative Strength Index with Wilder’s smoothing from MS’s daily closing prices, and apply the conventional thresholds — above 70 is overbought, below 30 is oversold. Moving averages, the 52-week range, and volume comparisons come from the same price history.
Indicators are recomputed after every market close. The AI commentary adds context from current news via grounded search, but never changes the computed verdict. Note: closes are as-traded; a stock split would distort readings for a few weeks until the window rolls past it.
Not Financial Advice
This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.
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