Is NVIDIA Corporation Stock (NVDA) Overbought or Oversold?
RSI analysis computed from NVDA's daily closing prices · Data through July 2, 2026
As of July 2, 2026, NVDA’s 14-day RSI is 59.8, inside the neutral 30–70 band — neither overbought nor oversold by the conventional thresholds.
RSI-14 Scale
NVDA reads 59.8 on the 0–100 scale.
The Supporting Picture
vs 50-Day MA
+6.4%
MA: $183.80
vs 200-Day MA
+8.3%
MA: $180.52
From 52-Wk High
-6.0%
High: $207.04
Volume vs 20-Day Avg
-43%
Avg: 140.7M shares
The 50-day average is currently above the 200-day average, which technicians read as a longer-term uptrend backdrop for the RSI reading above.
What's Behind the Reading
July 6, 2026NVIDIA (NVDA) currently holds a neutral momentum posture, with an RSI-14 of 59.77. The stock is trading 6.8% above its 50-day moving average but is down 5.98% from its 52-week high. Recent price action reflects its position as a dominant player in the AI infrastructure market, with strong recurring revenue and deep integration with leading customers. However, the company is facing potential headwinds in the macro environment, such as a slowdown in GPU proliferation and increased competition in the data center market, which could lead to share loss and margin pressures. A decline in China gaming and slowing demand in the PC market may also impact revenue. Despite these challenges, NVIDIA's strong profitability and cash flow, coupled with innovations and expansions into new markets, contribute to its current momentum.
Recent Overbought / Oversold Episodes
How NVDA behaved the last few times RSI left the neutral band — including its return over the 5 trading days after each episode ended.
| Episode | Period | Next 5 Days |
|---|---|---|
| overbought | October 29, 2025 | -5.7% |
| overbought | July 24, 2025 – July 31, 2025 | +1.6% |
| overbought | July 8, 2025 – July 21, 2025 | +3.1% |
| overbought | July 3, 2025 | +3.5% |
Past behavior does not predict future results — small sample sizes especially.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Methodology
The verdict on this page is mechanical: we compute the 14-day Relative Strength Index with Wilder’s smoothing from NVDA’s daily closing prices, and apply the conventional thresholds — above 70 is overbought, below 30 is oversold. Moving averages, the 52-week range, and volume comparisons come from the same price history.
Indicators are recomputed after every market close. The AI commentary adds context from current news via grounded search, but never changes the computed verdict. Note: closes are as-traded; a stock split would distort readings for a few weeks until the window rolls past it.
Not Financial Advice
This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.
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