Is Microsoft Corporation Stock (MSFT) Overbought or Oversold?
RSI analysis computed from MSFT's daily closing prices · Data through July 2, 2026
As of July 2, 2026, MSFT’s 14-day RSI is 52.4, inside the neutral 30–70 band — neither overbought nor oversold by the conventional thresholds.
RSI-14 Scale
MSFT reads 52.4 on the 0–100 scale.
The Supporting Picture
vs 50-Day MA
-3.4%
MA: $400.60
vs 200-Day MA
-18.7%
MA: $475.96
From 52-Wk High
-28.1%
High: $542.07
Volume vs 20-Day Avg
-3%
Avg: 25.6M shares
The 50-day average is currently below the 200-day average, which technicians read as a longer-term downtrend backdrop for the RSI reading above.
What's Behind the Reading
July 6, 2026Microsoft Corporation is currently in a neutral momentum posture, with an RSI-14 of 52.42. Its price is trading 3.6% below its 50-day moving average and is 28.07% down from its 52-week high. On July 6, 2026, Microsoft announced a reduction of approximately 4,800 jobs, representing 2.1% of its global workforce, alongside a significant overhaul of its Xbox gaming division. These strategic adjustments are aimed at realigning its sales and consulting operations to adapt to the rapidly evolving tech industry. The company is also making substantial investments in AI infrastructure, which, coupled with pressure to manage operating expenses, has led to these restructuring efforts. Microsoft recently launched the Microsoft Frontier Company, a $2.5 billion initiative designed to embed 6,000 engineers with customers to accelerate AI deployment.
Recent Overbought / Oversold Episodes
How MSFT behaved the last few times RSI left the neutral band — including its return over the 5 trading days after each episode ended.
| Episode | Period | Next 5 Days |
|---|---|---|
| oversold | March 24, 2026 – March 30, 2026 | +8.6% |
| oversold | February 23, 2026 | +3.6% |
| oversold | February 3, 2026 – February 6, 2026 | +0.0% |
| oversold | January 21, 2026 | +8.4% |
Past behavior does not predict future results — small sample sizes especially.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Methodology
The verdict on this page is mechanical: we compute the 14-day Relative Strength Index with Wilder’s smoothing from MSFT’s daily closing prices, and apply the conventional thresholds — above 70 is overbought, below 30 is oversold. Moving averages, the 52-week range, and volume comparisons come from the same price history.
Indicators are recomputed after every market close. The AI commentary adds context from current news via grounded search, but never changes the computed verdict. Note: closes are as-traded; a stock split would distort readings for a few weeks until the window rolls past it.
Not Financial Advice
This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.
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